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January 2026 UK Economy and Labour Market Report

The UK economy is in a period of adaptation. Businesses are navigating evolving markets, technological change and shifting workforce demands, with AI, data and digital transformation reshaping how organisations operate and deliver value.

At a glance

  • Unemployment rate: approximately 5.1%, up on the previous quarter
  • UK employment rate: 75.1% (Sep–Nov 25)
  • Economic inactivity: broadly stable at around 21%
  • Earnings growth: 4.5% excluding bonuses (quarter ending Nov 25)
  • Inflation (CPI): 3.4% (Dec 2025)
  • Bank Rate: 3.75%
  • Job vacancies: 734,000 (Oct–Dec 2025)
  • New job postings: 573,597 in Dec 25, down 8.2% on the month
  • Business investment growth: +1.5% (Q3 2025)

Data source: Office for National Statistics, Recruitment & Employment Confederation, Change Specialists Ltd.

About these figures. These are the statistics as the Office for National Statistics published them at the time of this report. ONS routinely revises Labour Force Survey estimates afterwards, so today’s figures for the same period may differ slightly. For the latest official figures, see our UK labour market tracker, which is refreshed daily direct from ONS and the Bank of England.

What it means

Hiring activity. The labour market continues to slow, with employers cutting back on hiring and redundancies increasing.

Skills shortages persist. Specific sectors still cannot find the people they need, so flexible hiring solutions remain key — particularly in healthcare, logistics and IT.

Investment is cautious. Monetary policy stability creates careful investment behaviour, especially in capital-intensive sectors. Business investment peaked in Q1 2025, dipped in Q2 and recovered modestly in Q3.

Organisations that maintain active programme portfolios — combining technology adoption with workforce capability building — are best placed to respond quickly and sustainably.

Written by Julian Brown, Practice Director, Change Specialists.

Change Specialists Ltd
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